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Methodologies of long-term forecasting

International Workshop


December 8 - 9, 2011


Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit), Regensburger Strasse 104, Nuremberg, Germany
Rooms 164


The conference aims at stimulating exchange on the methods to model and forecast aggregates such as GDP growth or labour demand for a horizon of 10 to 30 years. Contributions to general forecasting methods are as welcome as disaggregate forecasts by sectors or regions, international comparison, or forecast evaluation. A panel discussion will address future developments in a shrinking economy.

Confirmed Speakers

The keynote speech will be delivered by Hans Fehr (University of Würzburg).

Panel discussants:

  • Hans Fehr (University of Würzburg)
  • Joachim Möller (IAB)
  • Markus Schmitz (Federal Employment Agency)
  • Olaf Storbeck (Moderator, Handelsblatt)


Please submit electronic versions of full papers or extended abstracts in PDF until September 15, 2011 to 


Gerd Zika

Additional information