Technological progress and (un)employment development
14 July 2016
In this paper the authors have presented research on the theorem about the employment effects of productivity growth under different conditions of product demand. In a first step they have developed a simple theoretical model establishing the relationship between technological progress and employment. This model has then been generalized taking the labour market explicitly into account which allows explaining unemployment and endogenising wages.
IAB-Discussion Paper 22/2016
Inter-industry labor flows
28 June 2016
Labor flows across industries reallocate resources and diffuse knowledge among economic activities. However, surprisingly little is known about the structure of such inter-industry flows. Using German social security data, we generate stylized facts about inter-industry Labor mobility and explore its consequences.
IAB-Discussion Paper 21/2016
Identifying macroeconomic effects of refugee migration to Germany
17 June 2016
This study investigates impacts of migration on the German economy, explicitly distinguishing refugee and non-refugee immigration. We propose a macroeconometric modelling approach complemented by instrumental variable techniques. We find that non-refugee immigration has more beneficial medium-run effects on GDP and the labour market.
IAB-Discussion Paper 20/2016
Firms and labor market inequality
15 June 2016
The authors review the literature on firm-level drivers of labor market inequality. There is strong evidence from a variety of fields that standard measures of productivity — like output per worker or total factor productivity — vary substantially across firms, even within narrowly-defined industries. Several recent studies note that rising trends in the dispersion of productivity across firms mirror the trends in the wage inequality across workers.
IAB-Discussion Paper 19/2016
Does marginal employment promote regular employment for unemployed welfare benefit recipients in Germany?
14 June 2016
Marginal employment (ME) is one of the largest forms of atypical employment in Germany. In this study, the authors analyse whether ME has a “stepping stone” function for unemployed individuals, i.e., whether ME increases the subsequent probability of regular employment. This study adds to the literature in the following ways. First, compared to previous studies, it analyses the “stepping stone” function for a more recent time period, i.e., after Germany’s major labour-market reforms (Hartz reforms) at the beginning of the 2000s. Second, the authors use a new administrative data source which includes previously unavailable information on desired labour supply and household composition. Third, they follow recent methodological developments in the evaluation literature by applying a dynamic evaluation approach that has not previously been used to analyse marginal employment.
IAB-Discussion Paper 18/2016
Exchange Rate Effects of a Potential Brexit on German-UK Bilateral Trade
07 June 2016
On June 23rd the United Kingdom and Gibraltar will hold a referendum whether to stay in the European Union or not. The topic of what the consequences may be is rather large spanning many aspects of social, political and economic life. In this current report we look at bilateral German-UK trade and its short-run sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. We look at the trade numbers and explain what this sen-sitivity means.
Current Report 11/2016
Revision of the IAB Job Vacancy Survey
07 June 2016
The German Job Vacancy Survey delivers representative data on the number and structure of vacancies in Germany. Such data cannot be derived from other sources and are therefore unique. The survey includes registered and non-registered vacancies. In course of extensive tests and reviews a new extrapolation procedure has been developed. As a result, the aggregate number of vacancies is revised downwards.
The research report is organised as follows: Firstly, an overview about the aim and content of the German Job Vacancy Survey is given. Subsequently, the evolution of the new extrapolation procedure is described. Thirdly, the new method is presented and it is shown that the adaption of it significantly improves the quality of the Survey results.