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Ältere im Betrieb

Die zunehmende Alterung und die abnehmende Zahl der Erwerbspersonen sowie die Anhebung des Rentenalters bleiben nicht ohne Auswirkungen auf die Betriebe. Es ist eine alter(n)ssensible Personalpolitik gefordert, die sich der verändernden Altersstruktur im Betrieb stellt. Die Infoplattform bietet zum Thema Ältere im Betrieb Literaturhinweise, Volltexte und Informationen über Forschungsprojekte. Es werden die Positionen der Politik, der Verbände und Betriebe sowie die wissenschaftliche Auseinandersetzung mit dem Thema deutlich.
In dieser Infoplattform sind erstmals alle Literaturhinweise - neben der Themeneinordnung - dem Punkt "wissenschaftliche Literatur" oder "politik-/praxisbezogene Literatur" zugeordnet. "Wissenschaftliche Literatur" beinhaltet Veröffentlichungen in SSCI-Journals, referierten Zeitschriften, wissenschaftlichen Veröffentlichungsreihen und Discussion Papers. "Politik/Praxis" bezieht sich auf die aktuelle politische Diskussion bzw. auf betriebs-praktische Hinweise zum Thema Ältere im Betrieb.

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The labor market impacts of employer consolidation: Evidence from Germany (2024)

    Todd, Kevin; Heining, Jörg;

    Zitatform

    Todd, Kevin & Jörg Heining (2024): The labor market impacts of employer consolidation: Evidence from Germany. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 87, 2024-01-04. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102508

    Abstract

    "We use detailed administrative data to study how acquisitions — specifically the acquisition of a plant by a firm with a similar plant in the same local labor market — affect workers. Using an event study framework with a control group of workers at unaffected plants, we find that acquisitions lead to employment losses for workers initially employed at the acquired firm, mainly associated with labor force withdrawals by older female workers. At the same time we find evidence of a rise in wages for workers initially employed at targets and at the acquiring firm who remain with the combined enterprise, concentrated among lower-wage workers. Our findings suggest that consolidations lead to a reduction in overall employment but a rise in rents per worker that lead to a pattern of losers and winners in the labor market." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Heining, Jörg;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    When reality falls short of preferences: a response surface analysis of working time arrangements and older employees' work ability expectations (2024)

    Wöhrmann, Anne Marit ; Brauner-Sommer, Corinna; Michel, Alexandra ;

    Zitatform

    Wöhrmann, Anne Marit, Corinna Brauner-Sommer & Alexandra Michel (2024): When reality falls short of preferences: a response surface analysis of working time arrangements and older employees' work ability expectations. In: Zeitschrift für Arbeitswissenschaft, Jg. 78, H. 1, S. 41-53. DOI:10.1007/s41449-023-00410-5

    Abstract

    "In Zeiten von Arbeitskräftemangel und steigendem Alter für die Regelaltersrente wird es immer wichtiger, die Arbeitsfähigkeit älterer Beschäftigter zu erhalten. In dieser Studie gehen wir basierend auf der Person-Environment-Fit-Theorie davon aus, dass eine Arbeitszeitgestaltung, die nicht den individuellen Präferenzen älterer Beschäftigter entspricht, in negativem Zusammenhang mit der erwarteten Arbeitsfähigkeit steht. Dazu operationalisieren wir erwartete Arbeitsfähigkeit als das Alter bis zu dem man sich körperlich und geistig in der Lage fühlt in der aktuellen Tätigkeit weiterzuarbeiten. Wir nutzen eine Teilstichprobe von 4347 Beschäftigten im Alter von 50 bis 65 Jahren der BAuA-Arbeitszeitbefragung 2017. Ergebnisse polynomialer Regressionsanalysen und Response Surface Analysen zeigen, dass die erwartete Arbeitsfähigkeit geringer ist, wenn a) die tatsächliche Arbeitszeit die Wunscharbeitszeit übersteigt, und b) die Möglichkeit, den täglichen Beginn und das Ende des Arbeitstages zu bestimmen und c) die Möglichkeit, Arbeit und Privatleben zu trennen, hinter den jeweiligen Präferenzen der Beschäftigten zurückbleiben." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Part-time Employment Opportunities and Labor Supply of Older Workers (2023)

    Albinowski, Maciej;

    Zitatform

    Albinowski, Maciej (2023): Part-time Employment Opportunities and Labor Supply of Older Workers. (IBS working paper / Instytut Badan Strukturalnych 2023,07), Warszawa, 19 S.

    Abstract

    "I investigate the links between part-time employment opportunities and older workers' labor supply adjustments, focusing on the extensive and intensive margins. Utilizing data from 30 European countries in the period from 2011 to 2021, I construct a quasi-panel that compares individuals aged 60-64 with those aged 55-59 from five years prior. I find that the employees in sectors offering more part-time jobs are more likely to stay employed and that the total hours worked by these employees decrease at a slower rate than those of the employees in sectors imposing more rigid hours constraints. These results are most pronounced for women in manual occupation types but are significant across all examined worker categories. The positive relationship between part-time employment opportunities and the total hours older employees work is robust to various modifications in the empirical setup. However, this relationship is heterogeneous across countries and is least pronounced in the countries with a high availability of part-time jobs." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Lohnt sich der Hinzuverdienst bei vorgezogenem Rentenbezug? (2023)

    Beznoska, Martin; Schüler, Ruth Maria;

    Zitatform

    Beznoska, Martin & Ruth Maria Schüler (2023): Lohnt sich der Hinzuverdienst bei vorgezogenem Rentenbezug? (IW-Kurzberichte / Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft Köln 2023,40), Köln, 3 S.

    Abstract

    "Zum 1. Januar 2023 ist die Hinzuverdienstgrenze für vorgezogene Altersrenten gefallen. Rentnerinnen und Rentner, die vorzeitig mit Abschlägen oder abschlagsfrei in Rente gehen, können neben dem Bezug ihrer Rente unbegrenzt sozialversicherungspflichtig weiterverdienen. Die Abgabenbelastung ist jedoch relativ hoch, so dass die Arbeitsanreize eher gering sind." (Textauszug, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Career Spillovers in Internal Labour Markets (2023)

    Bianchi, Nicola; Bovini, Giulia; Li, Jin; Powell, Michael; Paradisi, Matteo;

    Zitatform

    Bianchi, Nicola, Giulia Bovini, Jin Li, Matteo Paradisi & Michael Powell (2023): Career Spillovers in Internal Labour Markets. In: The Review of Economic Studies, Jg. 90, H. 4, S. 1800-1831. DOI:10.1093/restud/rdac067

    Abstract

    "This article studies career spillovers across workers, which arise in firms with limited promotion opportunities. We exploit a 2011 Italian pension reform that unexpectedly tightened eligibility criteria for the public pension, leading to sudden, substantial, and heterogeneous retirement delays. Using administrative data on Italian private-sector workers, the analysis leverages cross-firm variation to isolate the effect of retirement delays among soon-to-retire workers on the wage growth and promotions of their colleagues. We find evidence of spillover patterns consistent with older workers blocking the careers of their younger colleagues, but only in firms with limited promotion opportunities." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Durchhalten Bis Zur Rente?: Einschätzungen von Beschäftigten, Betriebs- und Personalräten (2023)

    Blank, Florian ; Brehmer, Wolfram;

    Zitatform

    Blank, Florian & Wolfram Brehmer (2023): Durchhalten Bis Zur Rente? Einschätzungen von Beschäftigten, Betriebs- und Personalräten. (WSI-Report 85), Düsseldorf, 13 S.

    Abstract

    "In öffentlichen Debatten wird gefordert, das Renteneintrittsalter zu erhöhen. Diese Forderung geht jedoch an der Realität der Beschäftigten vorbei. Viele schaffen es aus gesundheitlichen und sonstigen Gründen nicht, bis zum Rentenalter zu arbeiten. Dieser WSI-Report geht der Frage nach, ob und welche Beschäftigte sich in der Lage sehen, ihre aktuelle berufliche Tätigkeit bis zum Rentenalter durchhalten zu können. Ergänzt wird diese Selbsteinschätzung durch Angaben von Betriebs- und Personalräten, nicht nur zur Beschäftigungsfähigkeit, sondern auch zu Handlungsspielräumen der Betriebe zur Unterstützung der Beschäftigten. Datengrundlage sind die HBS-Erwerbspersonenbefragung und die WSI-Betriebs- und Personalrätebefragung 2021. Im Ergebnis zeigt sich, dass die Mehrheit der Beschäftigten eher optimistisch ist, ihre aktuelle Tätigkeit bis zur Rente ausüben zu können. Allerdings zeigen sich erhebliche Unterschiede zwischen Beschäftigtengruppen, etwa zwischen Arbeiter*innen, Angestellten und Beamt*innen. Betriebs- und Personalräte äußern sich skeptischer zur Fähigkeit der Beschäftigten, bis zur Rente durchzuhalten. Gleichzeitig sehen sie aber Möglichkeiten der Unterstützung – Betriebe könnten mehr tun, um lange Erwerbskarrieren zu ermöglichen. Die aktuelle Situation wird aber als unzureichend eingeschätzt." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Role of Disability Insurance on the Labour Market Trajectories of Europeans (2023)

    Brugiavini, Agar; Crudu, Petru;

    Zitatform

    Brugiavini, Agar & Petru Crudu (2023): The Role of Disability Insurance on the Labour Market Trajectories of Europeans. (Working papers / Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, Dipartimento di Economia 2023,20), Venezia, 81 S.

    Abstract

    "This work documents the role played by disability insurance, typically part of a wider public pension provision package, on the labour market trajectories and retirement decisions. We will first employ a machine learning approach to estimate a Transition Probability Model able to uncover the most likely labour market histories and then evaluate the effects of policy reforms, including reforms to the eligibility for disability insurance benefits. The main contribution is the introduction of disability insurance programs within a framework, which models the entire life course of older Europeans. This requires the detailed administrative eligibility criteria prevailing in each of the 11 countries from 1970 to 2017. Results show that the disability route and early retirement are substitutes. In addition, tightening eligibility rules of disability programs crowd out disabled workers, whose reductions in working capacities are correctly assessed, towards other compensatory schemes (e.g., unemployment benefits or early pension) in which working is not expected. On the contrary, individuals with over-assessed reductions in working capacities are the most reactive to disability policy restrictions. In conclusion, efficient disability assessment procedures are crucial for incentivising labour market participation without hurting individuals most in need." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Effects of Reforms on Retirement Behavior: Introduction and Summary (2023)

    Börsch-Supan, Axel H.; Coile, Courtney;

    Zitatform

    Börsch-Supan, Axel H. & Courtney Coile (2023): The Effects of Reforms on Retirement Behavior: Introduction and Summary. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 31979), Cambridge, Mass, 33 S.

    Abstract

    "The International Social Security (ISS) project compares the experiences of a dozen developed countries to study Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World. The project was launched in the mid 1990s and was motivated by decades of decline in the labor force participation rate of older men. The first phases of the project documented that social security program provisions can create powerful incentives for retirement that are strongly correlated with the labor force behavior of older workers. Since then, the dramatic decline in men's labor force participation has been replaced by sharply rising participation rates. Older women's participation has increased dramatically as well. This tenth phase of the International Social Security (ISS) Project is the third step in explaining rising participation at older ages. The first step investigated changes in health and education as potential causes and showed that they could not account for the extent of changes in labor force participation. As a second step, we documented that countries have undertaken numerous reforms of their social security programs, disability programs, and other public benefit programs available to older workers. We found that these reforms substantially reduced the implicit tax on work at older ages and that stronger financial incentives to work were positively correlated with labor force participation at older ages. In this volume, the third step of our analysis, we exploit the time-series and cross-national variation in the timing and extent of reforms of retirement incentives and employ micro-econometric methods in order to study whether the correlation between financial incentives and work at older ages is causal." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The Extension of Late Working Life in Germany: Trends, Inequalities, and the East–West Divide (2023)

    Dudel, Christian ; Klüsener, Sebastian ; Loichinger, Elke ; Myrskylä, Mikko ; Sulak, Harun ;

    Zitatform

    Dudel, Christian, Elke Loichinger, Sebastian Klüsener, Harun Sulak & Mikko Myrskylä (2023): The Extension of Late Working Life in Germany. Trends, Inequalities, and the East–West Divide. In: Demography, Jg. 60, H. 4, S. 1115–1137. DOI:10.1215/00703370-10850040

    Abstract

    "The extension of late working life has been proposed as a potential remedy for the challenges of aging societies. For Germany, surprisingly little is known about trends and social inequalities in the length of late working life. We use data from the German Microcensus to estimate working life expectancy from age 55 onward for the 1941‒1955 birth cohorts. We adjust our calculations of working life expectancy for working hours and present results for western and eastern Germany by gender, education, and occupation. While working life expectancy has increased across cohorts, we find strong regional and socioeconomic disparities. Decomposition analyses show that among males, socioeconomic differences are predominantly driven by variation in employment rates; among women, variation in both employment rates and working hours are highly relevant. Older eastern German women have longer working lives than older western German women, which is likely attributable to the German Democratic Republic legacy of high female employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Lebensarbeitszeit im internationalen Vergleich: Die Bedeutung der Silver Worker für die Fachkräftesicherung (2023)

    Enste, Dominik H.; Werding, Martin ; Hensen, Julia;

    Zitatform

    Enste, Dominik H., Martin Werding & Julia Hensen (2023): Lebensarbeitszeit im internationalen Vergleich. Die Bedeutung der Silver Worker für die Fachkräftesicherung. (Studie / Roman Herzog Institut 38), München, 39 S.

    Abstract

    "Viele Menschen würden gern weniger arbeiten und früher in Rente gehen. Allerdings passt dieser persönliche Wunsch nicht zur alternden Gesellschaft in Deutschland. Um den Mangel an Fach- und Arbeitskräften abzuschwächen und die Finanzierung der gesetzlichen Altersvorsorge zu stabilisieren, müsste die Lebensarbeitszeit vielmehr steigen. Wie dies gehen kann, welche Potenziale in den sogenannten Silver Workern – den 65- bis 69-Jährigen – liegen und wie Deutschland im internationalen Vergleich dasteht, damit beschäftigen sich Dominik H. Enste, Martin Werding und Julia Hensen in dieser RHI-Studie. Als empirische Basis dazu vergleichen die Autor*innen die Lebensarbeitszeit in Deutschland mit der in anderen OECD-Staaten. Sie zeigen – auch anhand von Best-Practice-Beispielen aus anderen Ländern –, wie sich Potenziale heben und das Arbeitsvolumen steigern ließen. Zudem plädieren sie dafür, die Erwerbsphase zu verlängern, indem das gesetzliche Renteneintrittsalter automatisch an die höhere Lebenserwartung wird." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Job demands and job control and their associations with disability pension - a register-based cohort study of middle-aged and older Swedish workers (2023)

    Falkstedt, Daniel ; Selander, Jenny; Bodin, Theo; Albin, Maria; Almroth, Melody; Kjellberg, Katarina; Hemmingsson, Tomas; Gustavsson, Per; D'Errico, Angelo;

    Zitatform

    Falkstedt, Daniel, Melody Almroth, Tomas Hemmingsson, Angelo D'Errico, Maria Albin, Theo Bodin, Jenny Selander, Per Gustavsson & Katarina Kjellberg (2023): Job demands and job control and their associations with disability pension - a register-based cohort study of middle-aged and older Swedish workers. In: International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health, Jg. 96, H. 8, S. 1137-1147. DOI:10.1007/s00420-023-01995-4

    Abstract

    "Objectives: Job demands and control at work and their combination, job strain, have been studied in relation to risk of disability pension (DP) previously. In the present study, based on registry data, we aimed to deepen the knowledge by analyzing major disease groups among the DPs, dose–response shape of the associations, and potential confounding efects of physical workload. Methods: Approximately 1.8 million workers aged 44 or older and living in Sweden in 2005 were followed up for 16 years, up to a maximum of 65 years of age. We linked mean values of job demands and job control, estimated in a job-exposure matrice (JEM) by gender, to individuals through their occupational titles in 2005. These values were categorized by rank order, and, for the construction of job-strain quadrants, we used a median cut-of. Associations with DP were estimated in Cox proportional-hazards models. Results: In models accounting for covariates including physical workload, low levels of job control were associated with higher risk of DP among both men and women. This association was most clear for DP with a psychiatric diagnosis, although a dose–response shape was found only among the men. High levels of job demands were associated with decreased risk of DP across diagnoses among men, but the same association varied from weak to non-existing among women. The high- and passive job-strain quadrants both showed increased risk of DP with a psychiatric diagnosis. Conclusion: The results suggest that, at the occupational level, low job control, but not high job demands, contributes to an increased incidence of DP, particularly regarding DP with a psychiatric diagnosis." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Springer-Verlag) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    A conceptual cross-disciplinary model of organizational practices for older workers: multilevel antecedents and outcomes (2023)

    Finsel, Julia S. ; Deller, Jürgen; Wöhrmann, Anne M. ;

    Zitatform

    Finsel, Julia S., Anne M. Wöhrmann & Jürgen Deller (2023): A conceptual cross-disciplinary model of organizational practices for older workers: multilevel antecedents and outcomes. In: The International Journal of Human Resource Management, Jg. 34, H. 22, S. 4344-4396. DOI:10.1080/09585192.2023.2199939

    Abstract

    "Due to population aging and its implications for organizations and societies, organizational practices for older workers (OPOWs) play a relevant role in multiple research disciplines. So far, most reviews on this topic operationalize organizational practices as antecedents of older workers’ outcomes. We extend this perspective by illustrating multilevel antecedents and outcomes of OPOWs. In doing so, we demonstrate how these organizational practices directly and indirectly affect older workers, organizations, and society and how, in turn, older workers, organizations and society impact OPOWs. Drawing on a literature review, we discuss key theories and present current empirical findings from multiple research disciplines to propose an integrated cross-disciplinary model with the potential to guide future research and practice." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Der starke Anstieg der Erwerbstätigkeit von Älteren ist ganz überwiegend dem Wachstum der sozialversicherungspflichtigen Beschäftigung geschuldet (Serie "Arbeitskräftesicherung") (2023)

    Fitzenberger, Bernd ; Söhnlein, Doris ; Hutter, Christian ;

    Zitatform

    Fitzenberger, Bernd, Christian Hutter & Doris Söhnlein (2023): Der starke Anstieg der Erwerbstätigkeit von Älteren ist ganz überwiegend dem Wachstum der sozialversicherungspflichtigen Beschäftigung geschuldet (Serie "Arbeitskräftesicherung"). In: IAB-Forum H. 02.05.2023 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20230502.01

    Abstract

    "Die Erwerbstätigkeit von Älteren, also in der Altersgruppe ab 50 Jahre, nimmt seit Mitte der 2000er Jahre deutlich zu. Dabei dominiert der Anstieg der sozialversicherungspflichtigen Beschäftigung, insbesondere bei den 60- bis 64-Jährigen. Auch der Anteil Selbstständiger in dieser Altersgruppe stieg in diesem Zeitraum an, zumindest bis zur Corona-Krise. Im Gegensatz dazu geht der Anteil ausschließlich geringfügig Beschäftigter bei Älteren seit den 2010er Jahren – mit Ausnahme der Personen ab 65 – zurück." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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  • Literaturhinweis

    The value of pension reforms for late working life: evidence from Sweden (2023)

    Focacci, Chiara Natalie ; Kelfve, Susanne; Motel-Klingebiel, Andreas ; Öylü, Gülin ;

    Zitatform

    Focacci, Chiara Natalie, Gülin Öylü, Andreas Motel-Klingebiel & Susanne Kelfve (2023): The value of pension reforms for late working life: evidence from Sweden. In: The international journal of sociology and social policy, Jg. 43, H. 13/14, S. 79-89. DOI:10.1108/IJSSP-02-2023-0038

    Abstract

    "Purpose: Driven by the aim to increase the participation of older people in the labor force and to extend people's working lives, the Swedish Parliament passed a bill in 1998 to increase the pension eligibility age from 60 to 61 years and establish a notional defined-contribution (NDC) plan. In this article, the authors investigate the impacts towards the prolongation of working lives expected from such an intervention. Design/methodology/approach The authors apply a multinomial probabilistic model based on Swedish registry data on the birth cohorts 1937–1938 (n  = 102,826) and observe differences in exit behaviour between eligible and non-eligible individuals. Findings: The authors find that the cohorts eligible to the pension reform exit the labor market at a later age compared to non-eligible cohorts at the 61-years cut-off. The authors also find that the effect persists in the long term. Furthermore, the authors find that both men and women are equally struck by the reform. Originality/value While there exist many descriptive reports and theoretical analyses on the costs and benefits of pension reforms, this study is the first one to empirically analyse the effect of the first European NDC pay-as-you go pension plan on the potential exclusion of old-aged workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © Emerald Group) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Working life and human capital investment: Causal evidence from a pension reform (2023)

    Fürstenau, Elisabeth; Gohl, Niklas; Weinhardt, Felix ; Haan, Peter;

    Zitatform

    Fürstenau, Elisabeth, Niklas Gohl, Peter Haan & Felix Weinhardt (2023): Working life and human capital investment: Causal evidence from a pension reform. In: Labour Economics, Jg. 84. DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102426

    Abstract

    "In this paper, we analyze if an increase in the working life leads to more human capital investment via on-the-job training. We obtain RDD-estimates from a sharp date-of-birth cut-off, generated by a pension reform that increased the Early Retirement Age (ERA) by three years for many women in Germany. In our preferred specification, we find that this reform causally increased on-the-job training by 4.4 percentage points – a relative increase of 28.8 percent. We explore heterogeneityand additional outcomes and show that this effect is driven by the behavior of women with high initial levels of education. Our results speak to human capital models as well as policies towards extending or shortening working life." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku, © 2024 Elsevier) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    Working Longer, Working Stronger? The Forward-Looking Effects of Increasing the Retirement Age on (Un)employment Behaviour (2023)

    Gohl, Niklas;

    Zitatform

    Gohl, Niklas (2023): Working Longer, Working Stronger? The Forward-Looking Effects of Increasing the Retirement Age on (Un)employment Behaviour. (CEPA discussion papers / Center for Economic Policy Analysis 63), Potsdam, 62 S.

    Abstract

    "Leveraging two cohort-specific pension reforms, this paper estimates the forward-looking effects of an exogenous increase in the working horizon on (un)employment behaviour for individuals with a long remaining statutory working life. Using difference-in-differences and regression discontinuity approaches based on administrative and survey data, I show that a longer legal working horizon increases individuals' subjective expectations about the length of their work life, raises the probability of employment, decreases the probability of unemployment, and increases the intensity of job search among the unemployed. Heterogeneity analyses show that the demonstrated employment effects are strongest for women and in occupations with comparatively low physical intensity, i.e., occupations that can be performed at older ages." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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    How Does the Statutory Retirement Age Affect Older workers' Employment in Relation to Individual and Work‐Related Factors? (2023)

    Grzenda, Wioletta ;

    Zitatform

    Grzenda, Wioletta (2023): How Does the Statutory Retirement Age Affect Older workers' Employment in Relation to Individual and Work‐Related Factors? In: Journal of Aging & Social Policy online erschienen am 18.11.2023, S. 1-24. DOI:10.1080/08959420.2023.2284570

    Abstract

    "Policies aimed at increasing employment among older people often focus on the statutory retirement age. Taking into account the characteristics of workers and work-related factors, we examine the impact of reaching the statutory retirement age on continuing employment. In addition to the use of survival trees, we propose a novel method to predict the probability of staying in employment based on an ensemble of survival trees. We focus on Poland as an example of a European country with a particularly low share of older workers in the labor force. Moreover, reform was carried out in Poland in 2017, lowering the previously raised pension eligibility age. Like other EU countries, pension eligibility in Poland starts after reaching the statutory retirement age. Our results suggest that the timing of retirement is determined by the statutory retirement age to a limited extent compared to other factors. In the case of women, a match of education and occupation, the employment sector, and holding a managerial position had a greater impact on continuing employment than reaching retirement age. In the case of men, the type of job contract had the greatest impact on continuing employment. Our findings indicate that the policies and initiatives aimed at extending working life should pay more attention to work-related factors and gender differences in employment." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

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  • Literaturhinweis

    When Institutions Interact: How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies (2023)

    Gudgeon, Matthew; Ye, Han; Schmieder, Johannes F.; Trenkle, Simon ; Guzman, Pablo;

    Zitatform

    Gudgeon, Matthew, Pablo Guzman, Johannes F. Schmieder, Simon Trenkle & Han Ye (2023): When Institutions Interact: How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies. (NBER working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research 31807), Cambridge, Mass, 62 S.

    Abstract

    "This paper shows empirically that the non-employment effects of unemployment insurance (UI) for older workers depend in a first-order way on the structure of retirement policies. Using German data, we first present reduced-form evidence of these interactions, documenting large bunching in UI inflows at the age that allows workers to claim their pension following UI expiration. We then estimate a dynamic life-cycle model and use it to directly quantify how the effects of UI vary with retirement policies. Accounting for interactions across UI and retirement institutions also helps explain otherwise difficult-to-explain trends in the unemployment rate of older German workers." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Trenkle, Simon ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Alle Regionen in Deutschland altern – aber manche sehr viel stärker als andere (2023)

    Haas, Anette; Hirschenauer, Franziska ;

    Zitatform

    Haas, Anette & Franziska Hirschenauer (2023): Alle Regionen in Deutschland altern – aber manche sehr viel stärker als andere. In: IAB-Forum H. 06.04.2023 Nürnberg. DOI:10.48720/IAB.FOO.20230406.01

    Abstract

    "Die Alterung der Bevölkerung trifft Deutschland regional höchst unterschiedlich. Dies gilt auch für die Alterung der Beschäftigten. So schwankt die Zahl der älteren sozialversicherungspflichtig Beschäftigten (50 bis 59 Jahre) je 100 jüngere Beschäftigte (20 bis 29 Jahre) zwischen 91 in Mannheim und 315 in Oschatz. Besonders ungünstig ist die Altersverteilung in den ländlichen Regionen Ostdeutschlands. Hier droht vor allem im Pflegebereich ein Fachkräftemangel kritischen Ausmaßes" (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

    Beteiligte aus dem IAB

    Haas, Anette; Hirschenauer, Franziska ;
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  • Literaturhinweis

    Demografischer Wandel – bekannte Herausforderungen, neue Gestaltungsmöglichkeiten: Die Babyboomer verändern Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft (2023)

    Haist, Karin;

    Zitatform

    Haist, Karin (2023): Demografischer Wandel – bekannte Herausforderungen, neue Gestaltungsmöglichkeiten. Die Babyboomer verändern Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. In: Ifo-Schnelldienst, Jg. 76, H. 11, S. 3-7.

    Abstract

    "Der Anteil älterer Menschen an der Gesamtbevölkerung wird steigen, gerade durch das Vorrücken der Babyboomer-Jahrgänge ins Rentenalter. Das Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung prognostiziert einen Anstieg des Anteils der über 65-Jährigen von heute 22 % auf 28 % im Jahr 2040 und auf 30 % im Jahr 2060 (vgl. Abb. 3). Eine andere Zahl, die die Drastik der Veränderung deutlich macht: Schon 2035 wird es rund 20 Mio. Menschen über 67 Jahre geben – heute sind es 16 Mio. Unabhängig davon, was diese Veränderungen für die Gesellschaft von morgen bedeuten – zum Beispiel die bislang völlig ungelöste Frage, wer die Babyboomer pflegen soll, wenn sie hochaltrig werden –, werden auch heute schon große Verwerfungen deutlich." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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